This is a page dedicated to weekly predictions for English Premier League. I am a fan of the Premier League and I am a long time Gooner though try as I might no sort of predictions I do can make them better. A lot of the data for this comes from the awesome
engsoccerdata package available on github. My predictions are under constantly construction but they are based on Poisson distributions, and you can read a little bit about those here. Other pieces include Transfer Market data of team and player values from transfermarkt.co.uk The first year was the 2017-18 season which you can view via the link below.
Though this will appear on my blog feed it can be found in later weeks on the navigation bar via the button.
Premier League Standings
|Brighton & Hove Albion||BHA||0.6||0.1||2||1||0||1||-1||3|
|West Ham United||WHU||0.5||1.2||2||0||0||2||-5||0|
This page is going to look a little different than the predictions last year. If a team is predicted to win they will be highlighted in green and if no winner is highlighted that means either no team tips over the threshold which means it is predicted to end in a draw. The actual results will be updated after the final day for that game week.
I am okay being wrong when it comes to teams beating
MUN, and I am elated that Brighton handed them their first loss of the season. Quickly my elation faded as I watched
ARS handed their second loss in a row. This week I made a small change to the draw threshold because last week my predictions were correct but the threshold was too high. This means that both the
BOU vs EVE and
MUN vs. TOT games have a predicted winner now.
It is great to have club football back. This first week saw some great football and a relatively high scoring first week. Liverpool started where they left off trouncing West Ham and the league winners looked in great form against my gunners who look to another tough match up with Chelsea in week 2. There are a couple matchups that according to my predictions look to be pretty even, I think that the
WHU vs. BOU fixture might be interesting. Also I look at
CRY giving that
LIV back line a little trouble.
Between revamping this page, the prediction model and getting our fantasy league up and running for this year I have to say that the English Premier League has been nearly a part time job and it hasn’t even started yet. I wouldn’t have it any other way.