This is a page dedicated to weekly standings for the English Premier League. I am a fan of the Premier League and I am a long time Gooner though try as I might no sort of predictions I do can make them better. The first year was the 2017-18 season for which I did weekly predictions and ended up with 61% accuracy at the end of the year. The second year I got more ambitious and extended the model to include Transfer Market data, and ultimately only made it through 31 weeks.
One consistent thread about this 2020 season of the Premier league that is woven through most of what I hear or read around it is that this season is mad. Mad results and mad goals. Frankly I agree and one couldn’t be surprised to feel this way when watching results like Aston Villa beating Liverpool 7-2. But the second piece about the ‘mad’ (read lots of) goals is something that I also believed especially when, while writing this, the first 0-0 draw of the season just happened.
For the past couple years now I have been participating and comissioning numerous Fantasy Premier Leagues. These leagues have often manifested across multiple sites like Fantrax or the Fantasy Premier League and they all tend to have different ways of suggesting what players a user should pick for their team. Most present last year’s stats, this year’s or average points per game week but these are all summary stats which got me thinking.
This Premier League season has been one of the most debated, scrutinized, and otherwise talked about seasons I can remember. Though the introduction of VAR (video assistant referee) and Liverpool’s currently unprecedented pace at the top of the league have been a lot of it I also hear and read a lot about the dominance of the Big Six and decided to take a look at whether that trend is continuing.
If you were like me you spent this last Tuesday (10/15) sad, scared, and a little bit frustrated at how poorly the U.S. Men’s National Team (USMNT) were performing against our rivals to the North, Canada. Now I am being hyperbolic about a couple of those emotions but I really was quite frustrated at our seemingly backwards progress. Roger Bennett, of the Men In Blazers, eloquently tweeted this. US Men's Soccer Team just lost 2-0 to Canada.
During the World Cup I did a write-up of FiveThirtyEight SPI rankings and estimated team market value to see where each team fell. The idea was identifying those teams who seem to be performing higher than their team value would suggest. I decided that for a quick little post I would explore that same concept but now since club season has started I can look at the English Premier League.
The Premier League just ended and normally this time of year is just spent reading up on transfer news until the league starts again, but not this year! It is a World Cup year which means that as of today the (real) biggest sporting event in the world kicks off. Some of you may know I (sort of) kept up my English Premier League predictions and while I am not doing the same for this World Cup I do have my own picks.
This is a page dedicated to weekly predictions for English Premier League. I am a fan of the Premier League and I support the Southampton Saints and am a long time Gooner though try as I might no sort of projection I do can make them better. A lot of the data for this comes from the awesome engsoccerdata package available on github. My predictions are under constantly construction, but they are based on Poisson distributions, and you can read a little bit about those here.
